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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465analdesutructorFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4518–3301, n=7819)80% (203–50, n=253)52% (6473–6009, n=12482)63% (989–572, n=1561)
Consensus PnL$7.9M-$60K$3.6M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #614PM monthly #23PM monthly #103
Sides with the consensus67% (16 of 24 open)100% (1 of 1 open)73% (90 of 123 open)70% (62 of 88 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +47 pts n=30, ROI +49%
  • Esports +51 pts n=13, ROI +52%
  • MLB +33 pts n=55, ROI +32%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%99% of 196 at avg 61¢, ROI +38%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)6% (won 100% of 11)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)30% (won 97% of 59)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)24% (won 100% of 48)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)40% (won 100% of 78)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465analdesutructorFlaznorpndb1
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11K—Under $254—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K—No $499—
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Dplus KIA $33K—Dplus KIA $30—
Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Alice Tubello
Alice Tubello $2.4K—Alice Tubello $2.9K—