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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465anothercoinbeachboy4ndb1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4487–3372, n=7859)54% (794–684, n=1478)no settled market65% (892–472, n=1364)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$29K—$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #90PM monthly #172—PM monthly #97
Sides with the consensus70% (19 of 27 open)82% (492 of 599 open)no open consensus position78% (39 of 50 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Elections −6 pts, n=26—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%21% of 70 at avg 26¢, ROI +7%—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)77% (won 0% of 54)—13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)0%—20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)3% (won 50% of 2)—24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 14)—43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465anothercoinbeachboy4ndb1
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $50KNo $29——
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $272—Yes $1.9K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $149No $457——
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2028 elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2—Yes $53
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $14KNo $2.0K——