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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | banepir | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4542–3331, n=7873) | no settled market | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 47% (14227–15735, n=29962) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | — | $7.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | — | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (20 of 38 open) | no open consensus position | 77% (27 of 35 open) | 55% (83 of 151 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | — | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | — | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | — | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | — | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | — | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | banepir | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Bucks $265 | — | Raptors $769 | Raptors $38 |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Bucks $11 | — | Raptors $214 | Raptors $190 |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $12K | — | Grizzlies $50 | Grizzlies $101 |
| Raptors vs. Bucks opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Bucks $1.8K | — | Raptors $523K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | — | Yes $23K | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | — | Grizzlies $14K | Thunder $168 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | — | Timberwolves $399 | Pelicans $43 |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $31 | — | No $30K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-7.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Jazz $14K | — | Jazz $14 | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.4K | — | No $2.4K | — |
| Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $514 | — | — | Under $12 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | — | Jazz $396 | Jazz $9 |
| Spread: East Carolina (-4.5) same side · consensus South Florida | South Florida $24 | — | — | South Florida $113 |