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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4e46m3ndb1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4539–3322, n=7861)no settled market63% (10884–6286, n=17170)63% (993–576, n=1569)
Consensus PnL$7.8M—$649K$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19—PM monthly #1PM monthly #97
Sides with the consensus55% (11 of 20 open)no open consensus position67% (255 of 383 open)69% (52 of 75 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • Crypto +45 pts n=121, ROI +67%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1164, ROI +26%
  • NBA +14 pts n=150, ROI +19%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—NFL −6 pts, n=15NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%—62% of 5751 at avg 54¢, ROI +30%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)—38% (won 18% of 2184)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)—7% (won 53% of 393)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)—9% (won 71% of 531)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)—46% (won 97% of 2643)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4e46m3ndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $18No $337K
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $172K—Yes $23—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $312—
Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $18Yes $534
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $5No $51
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $8No $13
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $98Yes $11K