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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | beachboy4 | mildwindow27 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4520–3295, n=7815) | no settled market | 36% (5213–9439, n=14652) | 47% (14123–15612, n=29735) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | — | -$151K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | — | PM monthly #333 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (3 of 6 open) | no open consensus position | 78% (1228 of 1567 open) | 66% (21 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Weather −4 pts, n=1229 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | — | 42% of 4985 at avg 45¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | — | 54% (won 1% of 2673) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | — | 2% (won 43% of 124) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | — | 4% (won 55% of 214) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | — | 40% (won 96% of 1974) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | beachboy4 | mildwindow27 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $51K | — | No $1 | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $128 | — | No $24 | — |