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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ch27erFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)47% (59–66, n=125)86% (12–2, n=14)75% (730–246, n=976)66% (476–241, n=717)
Consensus PnL-$292K$83K$69K-$145K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #330PM monthly #14PM monthly #44 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (3 of 6 open)no open consensus position64% (54 of 84 open)20% (1 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
  • NBA +42 pts n=10, ROI +44%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Soccer −8 pts, n=40—
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%100% of 12 at avg 56¢, ROI +35%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)0%34% (won 10% of 30)6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)33% (won 100% of 4)19% (won 29% of 17)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)58% (won 100% of 7)13% (won 55% of 11)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)8% (won 100% of 1)34% (won 83% of 30)51% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ch27erFlaznorpRN1
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $188K—G2 $2—
Hersonissos 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Johannus Monday
opposite sides · consensus Francesco Maestrelli
——Francesco Maestrelli $1.8KJohannus Monday $1.1K
W35 Heraklion: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Teodora Miron
opposite sides · consensus Elena Ruxandra Bertea
——Elena Ruxandra Bertea $956Teodora Miron $602
W35 Heraklion: Denislava Glushkova vs Lucie Nguyen Tan
opposite sides · consensus Lucie Nguyen Tan
——Lucie Nguyen Tan $355Denislava Glushkova $117
Hersonissos 3: Felix Gill vs Massimo Giunta
same side · consensus Massimo Giunta
——Felix Gill $826Felix Gill $86
W35 Heraklion: Giulia Safina Popa vs Maria Golovina
same side · consensus Giulia Safina Popa
——Giulia Safina Popa $288Giulia Safina Popa $405