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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | classified | googleplay | plusti | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (47–59, n=106) | 100% (2–0, n=2) | 43% (3–4, n=7) | 45% (14–17, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | -$550K | $3.8K | $353K | $29K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #286 | PM monthly #18 | was PM monthly #883 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (9 of 12 open) | 50% (6 of 12 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | Elections −2 pts, n=101 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 51% of 334 at avg 49¢, ROI −2% | 83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30% | 100% of 14 at avg 50¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 46% (won 4% of 152) | 0% | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 4% (won 47% of 15) | 19% (won 70% of 10) | 43% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 7% (won 78% of 23) | 76% (won 85% of 41) | 57% (won 100% of 8) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 43% (won 98% of 144) | 6% (won 100% of 3) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | classified | googleplay | plusti |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $117K | — | Kings $46K | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | — | Trail Blazers $54K | Thunder $1.9K |