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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465e46m3joseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3297, n=7818)63% (10860–6257, n=17117)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$680K$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #1PM monthly #2PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus63% (10 of 16 open)64% (342 of 531 open)no open consensus position69% (42 of 61 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Crypto +44 pts n=106, ROI +69%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1123, ROI +27%
  • MLB +19 pts n=52, ROI +21%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134NFL −6 pts, n=17——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%62% of 5423 at avg 55¢, ROI +29%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)38% (won 19% of 2052)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)7% (won 53% of 368)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)9% (won 72% of 497)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)46% (won 97% of 2506)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465e46m3joseph00677RN1
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2K——No $4.3K
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $40No $166——
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.0K——Over $3.0K
SD Amorebieta vs. UD Logroñés: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $222—Over $636