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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ferrariChampions2026RN1THG.
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3325, n=7861)35% (3665–6666, n=10331)48% (14146–15606, n=29752)56% (27495–21437, n=48932)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.1M$14.8M$25K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #126PM monthly #29 + pinnedwas PM monthly #902
Sides with the consensus65% (15 of 23 open)72% (18 of 25 open)57% (24 of 42 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • Crypto +14 pts n=10548, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 10548 at avg 86¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)—10% (won 57% of 2593)0% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)—22% (won 94% of 5682)25% (won 99% of 2670)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)—35% (won 99% of 9181)0% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)—33% (won 100% of 8519)75% (won 100% of 7872)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ferrariChampions2026RN1THG.
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $11KOver $9—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KOver $1.6K—
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefanini
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Lucrezia Stefanini $2.0KAnastasia Zakharova $287—
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Spurs $265Kings $121—
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
same side · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
—Sumit Nagal $9.1KSumit Nagal $1.0K—
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 208.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.6KOver $17—
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
—Max Hans Rehberg $2.3KMax Hans Rehberg $232—
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Zsombor Piros
—Zsombor Piros $780Zsombor Piros $960—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3KOver $360—
Nepal Premier League: Chitwan Rhinos vs Pokhara Avengers
same side · consensus Chitwan Rhinos
Chitwan Rhinos $390Chitwan Rhinos $28——