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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465haveagooddayRN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4474–3357, n=7831)37% (1517–2553, n=4070)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$31K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #119PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus71% (10 of 14 open)77% (200 of 260 open)59% (108 of 183 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Elections −3 pts, n=555—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%61% of 2399 at avg 63¢, ROI +1%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)32% (won 1% of 760)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)4% (won 42% of 101)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)7% (won 63% of 156)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)58% (won 96% of 1382)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465haveagooddayRN1
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $49KNo $130—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $214No $1.8K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $2.4K—Arthur Fils $11K
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $6.7K—Raptors $246
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $248—Under $371
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $194—Over $84