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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | haveagoodday | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4512–3287, n=7799) | 38% (1562–2548, n=4110) | 50% (1106–1117, n=2223) | 47% (13877–15390, n=29267) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $22K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #69 | PM monthly #122 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (14 of 20 open) | 74% (284 of 386 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (13 of 26 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Elections −3 pts, n=555 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 61% of 2399 at avg 63¢, ROI +1% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 32% (won 1% of 760) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 4% (won 42% of 101) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 7% (won 63% of 156) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 58% (won 96% of 1382) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | haveagoodday | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $51K | No $42 | — | — |
| Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $945 | No $995 | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $130 | No $1.1K | — | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys same side · consensus Quentin Halys | Quentin Halys $13K | — | — | Quentin Halys $1.3K |
| Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? same side · consensus No | No $14K | No $26 | — | — |
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $13K | No $418 | — | — |