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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465jelly2026keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Record (consensus markets)47% (64–71, n=135)70% (45–19, n=64)45% (200–248, n=448)66% (480–245, n=725)
Consensus PnL-$420K-$1.7K$28K-$157K
Tracked asPM monthly #10was PM monthly #877PM monthly #44PM monthly #47 + pinned
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)no open consensus position71% (17 of 24 open)86% (6 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%72% of 53 at avg 68¢, ROI +5%100% of 136 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)0%6% (won 100% of 8)6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)8% (won 50% of 4)38% (won 100% of 51)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)47% (won 56% of 25)50% (won 100% of 68)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)45% (won 92% of 24)7% (won 100% of 9)51% (won 100% of 106)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465jelly2026keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Borna Gojo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
Ugo Humbert $2.7K—Ugo Humbert $10KUgo Humbert $2.5K
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Magic $53K—Jazz $6.0K—
Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Tatjana Maria
——Tatjana Maria $8.9KTatjana Maria $10K
Lima: Santiago De La Fuente vs Max Alcala Gurri
same side · consensus Max Alcala Gurri
——Max Alcala Gurri $11KMax Alcala Gurri $7.4K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $2.7K—Taylor Fritz $15K—
W35 Weston, FL: Sachia Vickery vs Michaela Laki
same side · consensus Sachia Vickery
——Sachia Vickery $2Sachia Vickery $839