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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677MadridTimeprimm
Record (consensus markets)58% (4522–3297, n=7819)45% (10–12, n=22)49% (955–1002, n=1957)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$5.3M$20K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #54PM monthly #2PM monthly #413PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)no open consensus position41% (77 of 186 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 100% of 26)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)6% (won 0% of 1)17% (won 100% of 85)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)65% (won 73% of 11)19% (won 100% of 94)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)18% (won 67% of 3)59% (won 100% of 296)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677MadridTimeprimm
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $200K—No $656—
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $128K—No $1.8K—
Bratislava 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kimmer Coppejans
opposite sides · consensus Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Kimmer Coppejans $81—Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $9.1K—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.3K—Under $84—
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
Jan-Lennard Struff $2.7K—Casper Ruud $3.0K—
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3.6K—No $112—
Will AZ vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $98—Yes $42—
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $44K—No $367—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $13K—Over $133—
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $530—Under $832—
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $218—No $18—
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $38—No $153—