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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | Multicoloured-Serf | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (37–39, n=76) | no settled market | 25% (14–42, n=56) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$387K | — | -$478K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #39 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (7 of 10 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33% | 100% of 183 at avg 52¢, ROI +50% | 100% of 89 at avg 48¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 2% (won 100% of 4) | 11% (won 100% of 10) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 48% (won 100% of 88) | 52% (won 100% of 46) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 69% (won 67% of 9) | 42% (won 100% of 77) | 30% (won 100% of 27) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 15% (won 100% of 2) | 8% (won 100% of 14) | 7% (won 100% of 6) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | Multicoloured-Serf | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Heat $53K | — | Jazz $2.0K | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $9.4K | — | Heat $18K | — |