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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 | thirdt1me | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (37–39, n=76) | 43% (122–164, n=286) | no settled market | 61% (38–24, n=62) |
| Consensus PnL | -$387K | $199K | — | $11K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #37 | PM monthly #34 | PM monthly #160 | PM monthly #820 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (7 of 11 open) | 69% (29 of 42 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 6% (won 100% of 9) | 19% (won 10% of 96) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 42% (won 100% of 63) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 40% (won 100% of 61) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 12% (won 100% of 18) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 | thirdt1me |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Heat $53K | Jazz $17K | — | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $18K | Under $735 | — | — |
| Lima: Alan Magadan vs Oriol Roca Batalla opposite sides · consensus Oriol Roca Batalla | — | Oriol Roca Batalla $1.5K | — | Alan Magadan $1.1K |
| Sopo: Laura Samson vs Carolina M. Alves opposite sides · consensus Carolina M. Alves | — | Carolina M. Alves $748 | — | Laura Samson $141 |
| Orleans: Hugo Grenier vs Kyrian Jacquet opposite sides · consensus Kyrian Jacquet | — | Hugo Grenier $24 | — | Kyrian Jacquet $75 |
| Sopo: Bianca Andreescu vs Rebeka Masarova same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | — | Bianca Andreescu $48K | — | Bianca Andreescu $4.9K |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Toby Samuel same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti | — | Lorenzo Musetti $14K | — | Lorenzo Musetti $3.5K |
| Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri same side · consensus Elmer Moeller | Elmer Moeller $4.3K | Elmer Moeller $9.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5) same side · consensus Kent State | Kent State $192 | Kent State $1.2K | — | — |