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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | RN1 | Vale54holi | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4473–3354, n=7827) | 65% (888–469, n=1357) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) | 45% (264–329, n=593) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $4.2M | $14.8M | $34K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #146 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #116 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (17 of 25 open) | 74% (35 of 47 open) | 64% (131 of 204 open) | 63% (25 of 40 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | Mentions −1 pts, n=40 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 35% of 264 at avg 36¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 61% (won 1% of 161) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 3% (won 14% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 4% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 32% (won 96% of 85) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | RN1 | Vale54holi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $415K | No $234K | No $6.5K | — |
| Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet opposite sides · consensus Laura Samson | Laura Samson $5.4K | — | Carole Monnet $9.0K | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $357 | — | Under $157 | — |
| Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $268K | — | No $6.3K | — |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? same side · consensus No | No $86K | — | No $4.4K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert same side · consensus Matteo Berrettini | Matteo Berrettini $22K | — | Matteo Berrettini $13K | — |
| Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $11K | — | No $5.3K | — |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $155 | — | Under $2.7K | — |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $251 | — | Under $379 | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $194 | — | Over $81 | — |