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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | RN1 | stuttig | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (37–39, n=76) | no settled market | 68% (310–145, n=455) | 100% (2–0, n=2) |
| Consensus PnL | -$387K | — | -$57K | $13K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #37 | PM monthly #160 | PM monthly #36 + pinned | PM monthly #121 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (10 of 12 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (18 of 25 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 1 at avg 79¢, ROI +21% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 19% (won 10% of 96) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | 26% (won 100% of 62) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | 40% (won 100% of 95) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | 33% (won 100% of 80) | 100% (won 100% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | RN1 | stuttig |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Toby Samuel opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Musetti | — | — | Toby Samuel $400 | Lorenzo Musetti $38K |
| CF Trival Valderas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $5.7K | — | Under $462 | — |
| Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri same side · consensus Elmer Moeller | Elmer Moeller $4.3K | — | Elmer Moeller $7.1K | — |