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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | northdrawer | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4520–3295, n=7815) | 55% (11647–9394, n=21041) | 50% (1105–1118, n=2223) | 47% (14123–15612, n=29735) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | -$196K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #113 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (4 of 6 open) | 75% (2423 of 3223 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (20 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Soccer −3 pts, n=341 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 39% of 5489 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 57% (won 0% of 3123) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 2% (won 46% of 134) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 4% (won 61% of 222) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 37% (won 96% of 2010) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | northdrawer | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $51K | No $5 | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $128 | No $232 | — | — |