Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465primmRN1waierma
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3297, n=7818)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)75% (80–26, n=106)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.6M$14.8M$28K
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #46PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #835
Sides with the consensus65% (11 of 17 open)no open consensus position67% (38 of 57 open)40% (10 of 25 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%83% of 54 at avg 72¢, ROI +11%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)11% (won 50% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)7% (won 25% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)11% (won 83% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)70% (won 95% of 38)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465primmRN1waierma
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2K—No $4.3K—
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $2.3KYes $10
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.9KYes $10
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $11KYes $10
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $5.3KYes $10
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.0K—Over $3.0K—