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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465primmrayvanmechelenRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3297, n=7818)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)53% (2457–2181, n=4638)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.6M$16K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #46was PM monthly #981PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus69% (11 of 16 open)no open consensus position60% (52 of 86 open)65% (33 of 51 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=907, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=19, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%98% of 988 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)5% (won 94% of 51)2% (won 95% of 22)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)41% (won 99% of 405)32% (won 98% of 321)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)49% (won 99% of 485)51% (won 98% of 507)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)5% (won 100% of 46)14% (won 98% of 138)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465primmrayvanmechelenRN1
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.1K—No $7No $4.3K
Magic vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $95K—Suns $10—
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
Luca Van Assche $6.7K—Lorenzo Musetti $10—
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
——Daniel Milavsky $9Max Hans Rehberg $834
Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $123Yes $10K
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.0K——Over $3.0K
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Rice Owls
same side · consensus East Texas A&M Lions
East Texas A&M Lions $4.5K—East Texas A&M Lions $10—
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $403No $1.9K
Cali: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
same side · consensus Carole Monnet
——Carole Monnet $19Carole Monnet $974