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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (399–589, n=988) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $24K | $6.1M | $11.0M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #403 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (28 of 48 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 75% (83 of 110 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Soccer −3 pts, n=104 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1801 at avg 63¢, ROI +3% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 2% of 622) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 44% of 45) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 67% of 55) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 99% of 1079) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $5 | — | Yes $20K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2 | — | Yes $12K | — |