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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x3814198398E2d02c0e8fBa652345995cF84417bC-1782140092998 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (283–224, n=507) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.7K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #978 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (3 of 5 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 79% (57 of 72 open) | 48% (11 of 23 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | MLB −1 pts, n=284 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 493 at avg 56¢, ROI +6% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 23% of 40) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 37% of 100) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 56% (won 58% of 275) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 16% (won 90% of 78) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x3814198398E2d02c0e8fBa652345995cF84417bC-1782140092998 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $213 | — | No $407K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $32K | Eagles $3.6K |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $161K | Commanders $3.6K |