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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x38d5a13ef8e32d5e5a808ceba52d6ac78d4c063c | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (498–205, n=703) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) |
| Consensus PnL | -$1.4K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #581 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (6 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | MLB −12 pts, n=60 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 70% of 461 at avg 70¢, ROI −1% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 9% of 90) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 35% of 17) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 57% of 40) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 68% (won 90% of 314) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x38d5a13ef8e32d5e5a808ceba52d6ac78d4c063c | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $1.1M | — | Commanders $28K |