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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxd | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (310–124, n=434) | 47% (13855–15340, n=29195) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | -$63K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #611 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (6 of 6 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 90% (147 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −3 pts, n=104 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 466 at avg 63¢, ROI −3% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 20% of 66) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 32% of 104) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 20% (won 66% of 93) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 93% of 203) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxd | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.0K | — | — | Yes $15K |