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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x418D51e13d019913BB027DB22ECc723fe1AD88A3-1720918577961 | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (271–265, n=536) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | -$36K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #695 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 63% (12 of 19 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (55 of 65 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 321 at avg 56¢, ROI +18% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 38% of 13) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 75% of 71) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 58% (won 87% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 16% (won 96% of 50) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x418D51e13d019913BB027DB22ECc723fe1AD88A3-1720918577961 | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $34K | — | — | Commanders $904K |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $65 | — | Commanders $82K |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $125 | — | Commanders $32K |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Commanders $11K | Commanders $675 | — | — |