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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4278F7E5CB5f2d68d204d7403270c79CB07e0E92-1762724768941CORGIIBreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)89% (196–23, n=219)62% (393–246, n=639)45% (537–650, n=1187)50% (986–968, n=1954)
Consensus PnL$233K$4.5M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #970PM monthly #68PM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)33% (1 of 3 open)85% (52 of 61 open)50% (3 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won98% of 244 at avg 57¢, ROI +40%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 100% of 6)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 93% of 59)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 98% of 121)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 58)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x4278F7E5CB5f2d68d204d7403270c79CB07e0E92-1762724768941CORGIIBreakTheBankprimm
Eagles vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $1.1MEagles $2.7K
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $44KEagles $1.3K