← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (3671–2839, n=6510) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 63% (1100–635, n=1735) | 75% (2552–856, n=3408) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.2M | $8.4M | $4.6M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #30 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #109 | PM monthly #66 |
| Sides with the consensus | 92% (12 of 13 open) | 88% (30 of 34 open) | 71% (67 of 95 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Entertainment −2 pts, n=32 | — | NFL −7 pts, n=158 | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 5769 at avg 56¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 19% of 519) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 196) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 34% (won 43% of 1945) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 18% (won 40% of 283) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 53% of 2104) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 58% of 348) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 21% (won 95% of 1201) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 46% (won 94% of 710) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $17K | No $37K | — | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $425K | No $350K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $306K | Yes $12K | — |