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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (591–676, n=1267) | 46% (560–665, n=1225) | 47% (13362–14874, n=28236) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $85K | $11.2M | $14.8M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #33 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (243 of 340 open) | 48% (10 of 21 open) | 66% (108 of 164 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | F1 −7 pts, n=25 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 2047 at avg 60¢, ROI +5% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 37% (won 2% of 753) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 39% of 61) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 73% of 55) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 99% of 1178) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $160 | No $482K | — | — |