← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (612–697, n=1309) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 50% (1082–1097, n=2179) |
| Consensus PnL | $70K | $9.4M | $5.6M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #50 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (371 of 464 open) | 52% (12 of 23 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (7 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | F1 −7 pts, n=25 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 2047 at avg 60¢, ROI +5% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 37% (won 2% of 753) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 39% of 61) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 405) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 73% of 55) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 485) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 99% of 1178) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 46) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $184 | No $182K | — | — |