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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343ndb1
Record (consensus markets)45% (515–619, n=1134)66% (875–457, n=1332)
Consensus PnL$79K$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #50PM monthly #22
Sides with the consensus51% (39 of 76 open)71% (95 of 134 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicElections ±0 pts, n=283NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won61% of 1758 at avg 61¢, ROI +4%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢36% (won 1% of 636)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 41% of 54)20% (won 39% of 252)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 67% of 42)24% (won 57% of 306)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 99% of 1026)43% (won 93% of 540)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343ndb1
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $64No $1.4M
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $19No $3.1K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $749Yes $2.9M
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
same side · consensus No
Yes $304Yes $604K