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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (572–653, n=1225) | 66% (875–459, n=1334) | 47% (14288–15920, n=30208) |
| Consensus PnL | $79K | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #49 | PM monthly #25 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 44% (26 of 59 open) | 70% (30 of 43 open) | 55% (35 of 64 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Elections ±0 pts, n=286 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 1803 at avg 61¢, ROI +4% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 36% (won 1% of 648) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 40% of 55) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 69% of 45) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 59% (won 99% of 1055) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $64 | No $1.4M | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $19 | No $3.2K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $749 | Yes $2.9M | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House same side · consensus No | Yes $207 | Yes $544K | — |