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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:RN1BreakTheBankjoseph00677sainttroplay0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-177764853424100gringo00
| 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343 | beachboy4 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (573–655, n=1228) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) |
| Consensus PnL | $85K | $6.1M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #48 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #26 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (110 of 183 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (28 of 39 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections ±0 pts, n=286 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 1803 at avg 61¢, ROI +4% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 36% (won 1% of 648) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 40% of 55) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 20% (won 40% of 253) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 69% of 45) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 24% (won 57% of 310) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 59% (won 99% of 1055) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 43% (won 93% of 544) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343 | beachboy4 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $100 | — | No $61K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | No $571 | — | No $1.4M |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House same side · consensus No | Yes $201 | — | Yes $544K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $340 | — | No $94K |