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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343BreakTheBankndb1
Record (consensus markets)47% (573–655, n=1228)45% (547–663, n=1210)66% (876–458, n=1334)
Consensus PnL$85K$11.0M$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #48PM monthly #1PM monthly #26
Sides with the consensus64% (145 of 226 open)59% (67 of 113 open)72% (28 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topicElections ±0 pts, n=286—NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won61% of 1803 at avg 61¢, ROI +4%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢36% (won 1% of 648)10% (won 81% of 57)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 40% of 55)36% (won 98% of 201)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 69% of 45)35% (won 99% of 196)24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 99% of 1055)19% (won 100% of 109)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343BreakTheBankndb1
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $591Yes $1.4KNo $1.4M
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $286No $265KYes $544K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $100Yes $287KNo $61K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $923Yes $183KYes $324K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $340No $42KNo $94K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $77KNo $1.9M
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $187KYes $777K
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3Yes $36K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $28KNo $831
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3Yes $20K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $563Yes $14K—
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $35Yes $4.2K—
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5Yes $77K—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $28KYes $12K
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $62No $22K—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.5KNo $7.0K
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $157No $4.0K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2Yes $3.6K—
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $70No $737—
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $127No $607—