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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankFlaznorpnorthdrawer
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (549–663, n=1212)53% (5890–5273, n=11163)58% (10722–7705, n=18427)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$3.3M$63K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #22PM monthly #121
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (29 of 43 open)70% (123 of 176 open)81% (188 of 231 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Soccer −3 pts, n=341
Settled positions, side won—97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%39% of 5489 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 81% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)57% (won 0% of 3123)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 201)16% (won 40% of 243)2% (won 46% of 134)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 196)17% (won 62% of 255)4% (won 61% of 222)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 109)38% (won 94% of 561)37% (won 96% of 2010)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankFlaznorpnorthdrawer
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $9.2K—No $175
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $602—No $377
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $311—No $527
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—No $117K—No $83
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—No $11K—No $260
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.8K—No $216
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.4K—No $360
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $2—No $1