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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankHyperlongjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)56% (101–79, n=180)45% (547–663, n=1210)43% (169–222, n=391)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$11.0M-$51K$5.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #373PM monthly #1was PM monthly #998PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (80 of 114 open)62% (37 of 60 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——Crypto −7 pts, n=84—
Settled positions, side won94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%44% of 534 at avg 45¢, ROI −2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 81% of 57)46% (won 2% of 246)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 93% of 29)36% (won 98% of 201)7% (won 36% of 36)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 96% of 47)35% (won 99% of 196)8% (won 57% of 44)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 96% of 27)19% (won 100% of 109)39% (won 92% of 208)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankHyperlongjoseph00677
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $407KYes $187—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.4KYes $798—