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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | kaxel78 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 39% (402–619, n=1021) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $9.4M | $48K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #72 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 54% (15 of 28 open) | 79% (356 of 450 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Elections −1 pts, n=175 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 48% of 595 at avg 48¢, ROI +14% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 47% (won 2% of 281) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 5% (won 54% of 28) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 4% (won 54% of 24) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 44% (won 95% of 262) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | kaxel78 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $15K | No $2.0K |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $3.6K | No $1.8K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | — | No $170K | No $190 |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | — | No $12K | No $2.2K |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.0K | No $2.0K |