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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | morito181 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 69% (533–242, n=775) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $9.4M | $1.1M | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #115 + pinned | PM monthly #139 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 81% (151 of 186 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 22% (won 6% of 202) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 5% (won 43% of 49) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 6% (won 53% of 55) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 67% (won 96% of 612) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | morito181 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $258K | Yes $21K | — |