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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | zerone777 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 38% (312–507, n=819) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $11.0M | $4.4M | $136K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #1 | — | PM monthly #100 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 65% (42 of 65 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (20 of 30 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Mentions −2 pts, n=47 |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 39% of 335 at avg 40¢, ROI +7% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 0% | 56% (won 1% of 189) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 2% (won 38% of 8) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 5% (won 61% of 18) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 0% | 36% (won 97% of 120) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | zerone777 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $287K | — | No $6.8K |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $21K | — | No $41 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $42K | — | No $18K |
| Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.4K | — | No $473 |