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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241anothercoinBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)56% (101–79, n=180)56% (508–396, n=904)45% (547–663, n=1210)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$9.5K$11.0M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #373PM monthly #191PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position66% (93 of 141 open)67% (76 of 114 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—Elections −6 pts, n=26—
Settled positions, side won94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%21% of 70 at avg 26¢, ROI +7%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 75% of 8)77% (won 0% of 54)10% (won 81% of 57)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 93% of 29)0%36% (won 98% of 201)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 96% of 47)3% (won 50% of 2)35% (won 99% of 196)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 96% of 27)20% (won 100% of 14)19% (won 100% of 109)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241anothercoinBreakTheBank
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $3Yes $183K
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $3Yes $20K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $12Yes $1.4K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
same side · consensus No
—No $10No $265K
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $30No $2.5K