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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241joseph00677MadridTimeRN1
Record (consensus markets)56% (101–79, n=180)53% (10–9, n=19)52% (641–596, n=1237)47% (14377–16003, n=30380)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$5.6M$18K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2was PM monthly #789PM monthly #22 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position54% (45 of 83 open)58% (56 of 97 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NBA +48 pts n=72, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=258, ROI +23%
  • Tennis +20 pts n=18, ROI +25%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 367 at avg 70¢, ROI +30%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 75% of 8)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 100% of 20)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 93% of 29)6% (won 0% of 1)17% (won 100% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 96% of 47)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 100% of 83)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 96% of 27)18% (won 67% of 3)55% (won 100% of 201)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241joseph00677MadridTimeRN1
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $7Over $26K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $83No $20K
Buffalo vs. Miami (OH)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (OH)
——Buffalo $37Miami (OH) $18K
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $4Over $4.0K
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.5KYes $962
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 0 - 0 AS Roma?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $70No $1.4K
Spread: Miami (OH) (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buffalo
——Miami (OH) $281Buffalo $878
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $793
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 FC Bayern München?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $31No $846
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $723Over $46
Ducks vs. Canucks
opposite sides · consensus Ducks
——Canucks $48Ducks $614
Will Watford FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $85Yes $409
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 0 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $10No $431
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $15Under $317
Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $234Over $1
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $184Yes $22
Will Wigan Athletic FC vs. Mansfield Town FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $18No $156
Exact Score: IK Sirius 0 - 0 Halmstads BK?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $4No $130
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1Under $118
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Bolton Wanderers FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $8No $92
Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $48Over $10
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $10No $7
IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $9Yes $4
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Charles Broom
——Charles Broom $2.5KCharles Broom $769
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 2 FC Bayern München?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.3KNo $1.8K
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC?
same side · consensus No
——No $80No $2.7K
Al Hilal SFC vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $683Under $1.3K
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Aston Villa FC?
same side · consensus No
——No $29No $913
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
——No $303No $365
Will Lincoln City FC win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
——No $474No $164
Huddersfield Town AFC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $25Over $431
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
——No $166No $218
IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $180Under $11
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $17No $46
Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $18Under $42
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $32Under $10
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $32Under $8
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
——No $6No $27
Watford FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $7Under $10
IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $5Under $7