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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7BreakTheBankjoseph00677weflyhigh
Record (consensus markets)33% (1402–2820, n=4222)41% (616–869, n=1485)43% (10–13, n=23)52% (414–381, n=795)
Consensus PnL-$24K$8.4M$3.2M$2.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #920PM monthly #1PM monthly #7—
Sides with the consensus57% (20 of 35 open)89% (33 of 37 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +19 pts n=32, ROI +31%
  • NHL +3 pts n=601, ROI +3%
  • NBA +11 pts n=45, ROI +13%
Weakest topicMentions −1 pts, n=19——Entertainment −21 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won26% of 1304 at avg 23¢, ROI 0%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%55% of 745 at avg 51¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢71% (won 8% of 920)10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)3% (won 27% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 59% of 158)36% (won 98% of 212)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 50% of 302)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 75% of 153)35% (won 100% of 205)65% (won 73% of 11)51% (won 58% of 380)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 86% of 73)20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 89% of 37)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7BreakTheBankjoseph00677weflyhigh
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3Yes $19K——