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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7BreakTheBankprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)40% (1302–1938, n=3240)45% (576–717, n=1293)50% (1116–1128, n=2244)48% (14232–15729, n=29961)
Consensus PnL-$20K$7.9M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #920PM monthly #3PM monthly #52PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus22% (4 of 18 open)88% (22 of 25 open)no open consensus position58% (19 of 33 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicMentions −1 pts, n=17———
Settled positions, side won26% of 1266 at avg 22¢, ROI 0%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢71% (won 7% of 899)10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 60% of 152)35% (won 98% of 204)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 75% of 147)35% (won 100% of 202)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 85% of 68)20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7BreakTheBankprimmRN1
Will Psim Yogyakarta win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4——No $881
Will Dewa United win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2——No $376