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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938 | beachboy4 | joseph00677 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (1393–2115, n=3508) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 50% (1036–1039, n=2075) |
| Consensus PnL | $40K | $5.8M | $5.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #125 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #70 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (503 of 786 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Soccer −2 pts, n=403 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 1674 at avg 48¢, ROI −19% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 24% (won 4% of 401) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 45% (won 43% of 745) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 56% of 114) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 98% of 414) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938 | beachboy4 | joseph00677 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $146 | Yes $65 | — | — |