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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x68234mjhgfvj8612543ytjsa6187235v81283BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)54% (317–266, n=583)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)
Consensus PnL-$188K$7.9M$3.6M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #944PM monthly #3PM monthly #11PM monthly #52
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)88% (22 of 25 open)72% (138 of 193 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicMLB −3 pts, n=124—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won49% of 437 at avg 49¢, ROI −5%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 16% of 64)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢31% (won 51% of 137)35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 418)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 54% of 197)35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 504)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 74% of 39)20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x68234mjhgfvj8612543ytjsa6187235v81283BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
West Virginia vs. Texas Tech
same side · consensus Texas Tech
West Virginia $7—West Virginia $108—