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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x68234mjhgfvj8612543ytjsa6187235v81283keeptheblueflagflyinghighprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)39% (18–28, n=46)45% (198–245, n=443)53% (20–18, n=38)66% (480–244, n=724)
Consensus PnL-$4.4K$10K-$43K-$148K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #953PM monthly #47PM monthly #71PM monthly #45 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)77% (17 of 22 open)no open consensus position100% (4 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=13, ROI +49%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 6 at avg 68¢, ROI +39%100% of 136 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 20 at avg 51¢, ROI +48%100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢0%6% (won 100% of 8)5% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 100% of 1)38% (won 100% of 51)35% (won 100% of 7)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 100% of 2)50% (won 100% of 68)55% (won 100% of 11)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up50% (won 100% of 3)7% (won 100% of 9)5% (won 100% of 1)51% (won 100% of 106)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x68234mjhgfvj8612543ytjsa6187235v81283keeptheblueflagflyinghighprimmRN1
Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston
opposite sides · consensus Hugo Gaston
—Matteo Martineau $766—Hugo Gaston $2
Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Tatjana Maria
—Tatjana Maria $13K—Tatjana Maria $16K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Borna Gojo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
—Ugo Humbert $10K—Ugo Humbert $2.4K
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Carole Monnet
same side · consensus Polona Hercog
—Polona Hercog $322—Polona Hercog $1.1K