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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69beachboy4BreakTheBanksainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)49% (1233–1284, n=2517)67% (43–21, n=64)45% (547–663, n=1210)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$13K$6.1M$11.0M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #813was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus40% (30 of 75 open)100% (1 of 1 open)59% (67 of 113 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=390NBA −6 pts, n=93——
Settled positions, side won47% of 1392 at avg 46¢, ROI +2%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢38% (won 10% of 523)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 81% of 57)0%
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 40% of 246)30% (won 57% of 63)36% (won 98% of 201)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 64% of 199)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 196)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 88% of 424)14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 109)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69beachboy4BreakTheBanksainttroplay
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $13—Yes $34K—