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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080RN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)54% (1482–1254, n=2736)48% (12851–13947, n=26798)45% (535–643, n=1178)
Consensus PnL$87K$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #756PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus50% (5 of 10 open)63% (5 of 8 open)72% (83 of 116 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won90% of 1455 at avg 59¢, ROI +27%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 50% of 84)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 83% of 384)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 95% of 543)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 99% of 444)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080RN1BreakTheBank
Eagles vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $14—Commanders $1.1M
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Commanders $5—Commanders $23K
Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien
same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar
Joaquin Aguilar $7Joaquin Aguilar $3.7K—