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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (728–581, n=1309) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (14023–15521, n=29544) |
| Consensus PnL | $46K | $11.1M | $5.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #544 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (34 of 41 open) | 37% (33 of 90 open) | no open consensus position | 45% (32 of 71 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Weather ±0 pts, n=738 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1363 at avg 63¢, ROI −1% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 34% (won 2% of 465) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 39% of 31) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 72% of 43) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 99% of 824) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $207K | — | Pelicans $1.1K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $46K | — | Pelicans $360 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4 | Yes $31K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $31 | Yes $21K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $9 | Yes $280 | — | — |