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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8efa1ea8ee2d456a051ae2985079a1e3c9aa894cBreakTheBankprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (572–710, n=1282)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL—$7.9M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #48PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position80% (28 of 35 open)50% (9 of 18 open)59% (44 of 75 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 204)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 202)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x8efa1ea8ee2d456a051ae2985079a1e3c9aa894cBreakTheBankprimmRN1
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $1.3KRavens $560Jaguars $174
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $175K—Jaguars $2.6K
Spread: Jaguars (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $26KJaguars $19K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $12KOver $10K
Spread: Jaguars (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $9.7KJaguars $7.1K
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $601—Jaguars $3.2K
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $2.4KUTSA $302
Spread: James Madison (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
——James Madison $1.4KSouthern Miss $268
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $41KFlorida Atlantic $21K
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $3.5K—Warriors $510
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $287—Ravens $2.8K
Spread: Jaguars (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $230Ravens $1.8K
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $1.1KRavens $654
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $821Over $33—