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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468Fjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)12% (535–3782, n=4317)53% (10–9, n=19)66% (876–458, n=1334)
Consensus PnL-$87K$5.6M$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #244PM monthly #2PM monthly #26
Sides with the consensus66% (70 of 106 open)no open consensus position72% (28 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +2 pts n=30, ROI 0%
Weakest topicEntertainment −9 pts, n=171—NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won24% of 2552 at avg 28¢, ROI 0%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢68% (won 2% of 1724)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 36% of 146)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 52% of 182)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 86% of 500)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468Fjoseph00677ndb1
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $917—Yes $544K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $282—Yes $324K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
No $1.1K—No $1.4M
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $464—Yes $62K
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
same side · consensus No
No $60—No $41